Tag: Coffee vs. Tea

CvT: US-China Relations to Suffer as Ambassador to China Steps Down

The United States’ Ambassador to China, Terry Branstad, announced his resignation on September 14 to officially end his three-year post in the position. Given the timing of his resignation, right before the upcoming 2020 election, it is likely that the critical position of US ambassador to China will remain unfilled for months – regardless of the outcome of the presidential election. There are concerns that this prolonged lapse where the US ambassador position remains unfulfilled will further halt communications between the two countries, and will drive yet another wedge between the US and China.

CvT: The Swinging Door of EU-China Relations

The EU seems to be stuck between a rock and a hard-place as its alliance with the US and its trade relationship with China is increasingly at odds. As a close ally commonly aligned with the US on global political and economic issues, the EU is also becoming more wary of a rising China, citing it as a strategic rival. All things considered, as the relationship between China and the US continues to deteriorate, a door has swung open for the EU to offer a stable Western relationship for China in exchange for significant trade-related benefits with the bloc’s largest trading partner. Whether or not the two countries manage to address the outstanding concerns remains to be seen.

CvT: EU-China Investment Deal – Will Economics Price Out the Trans-Atlantic Alliance?

Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel headlined a virtual summit meeting with President Xi Jinping last month to expedite the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) between the European Union and China. The September 2020 summit was meant to conclude seven years of protracted talks surrounding the expansion of Chinese market access for EU investors, the removal and reduction of forced technology transfers (FTT), and future trade relations between the two partners. While patience may be virtuous, particularly when commercial diplomacy talks can cement trade rules for decades at a time, this current round of talks revealed a conspicuous reality for the world’s largest trading bloc – its uncomfortable position between the US and China.

CvT: China – A ‘Moderately Prosperous’ Nation Seeking ‘National Rejuvenation’

The next five-year plan is unlikely to reverse the trends that have gradually coalesced over the past several years as a response to geopolitical competition with the US. As Beijing doubles down on its current development strategy to compete more effectively with the US, foreign companies operating in China should not expect market reforms intended to even the long-term playing field any time soon.

CvT: US Visa Bans – Winning the IP Battle to Lose the Talent War?

National security has and continues to remain a core topic when discussing the deteriorating relations between the United States and China. In 2019, these concerns first manifested themselves through a US ban on Chinese tech company Huawei that referenced security issues, which ultimately brought the company to the forefront of diplomatic relations. In a more recent development in US-China relations, on September 8th, Washington revoked nearly 1,000 visas from Chinese researchers and graduate students, once again citing security concerns.

CvT: Dancing a Byte Over the Line for TikTok

President Trump announced his decision to ban TikTok’s parent company, ByteDance, in the United States through an executive order on August 6, citing national security concerns. If the executive order comes to fruition, it would effectively cease involvement of TikTok from the United States’ marketplace. As the confrontation between ByteDance and the United States continues, experts argue that the ban on other Chinese tech conglomerates like Huawei and Tencent is not solely about national security, but also a reflection of the power struggle between the two nations.

CvT: The Big RIP in the Cyber Realm

Under the Trump administration, the US, once the foremost champion of a single, global internet, has embraced the internet’s inevitable bifurcation into two parts, one led by the US and the other by China. In order to get ahead of the curve, the US has subjected several Chinese technology companies to legal action and ramped up pressure on its allies to divest from Chinese internet and telecommunication technologies.

CvT: The Himalayan Shots Heard ‘Round the World

Similar to that of the US-China relationship, the China-India relationship has been characterized by escalating conflict throughout 2020. The source of the friction: the two nations’ eagerness to expand infrastructure along an ill-defined 2,100 mile-long shared border in the Ladakh region of the Himalayas.

CvT: Taiwan’s Dangerously Successful Outbreak Response

Taiwan has done an exemplary job in dealing with the coronavirus. Despite having a population of nearly 24 million people, Taiwan has yet to reach 500 cases, fewer than some US states with a fraction of Taiwan’s population. The island’s success can be attributed to its experience with the 2004 SARS outbreak and the hard lessons it learned from viral pandemics. With a 124 action-item plan, the island imposed strict travel bans and stay at home orders. But how does Taiwan’s coronavirus success affect the US-China relationship?

CvT: Export Controls – Washington Goes Medieval on the New World Order

Furious lobbying by the semiconductor industry, which earns over a quarter of its revenue in China, softened the impact of last year’s ban on chip sales to Huawei by easing select restrictions on chips sales. However, as Washington’s stance hardens, American technology companies may have to prepare for a short-term hit to their bottom lines while preparing for a future that does not include China.

CvT: A Grand Strategy – How Diplomacy and Traditional Alliances Will Decide US Hegemony in Southeast Asia

Maintaining a strong military presence coupled with improved statecraft can allow Washington to influence other nations and their conflicts, which ultimately may increase American stature in a region where head-to-head military engagements between the US and China would lead to “mutually assured destruction.” If Washington takes more decisive action to marry political operations with military strategy and re-asserts the importance of diplomatic relations alongside a grand strategy, Beijing will face a transformed adversary that can challenge the PRC’s supremacy in Southeast Asia.

CvT: Trump vs. Biden on China – the Potential Policy Perspective

With the presidential election right around the corner, the two US presidential candidates’ stances on foreign policy, namely Sino-US relations, have become a topic of heated discussion. As the bilateral relationship continues to spiral at a concerning pace, each candidate’s China strategy will inevitably become a key focal point of their campaign. Let’s take a look at some of the claims made by the candidates, and the feasibility of their implementation.

CvT: How Did We Get Here? A Glance at US-China Relations in 2020

From pandemic accusations to market fluctuation, 2020 has been anything but a placid year for the relations between two of the world’s top superpowers. Here’s a look at some key moments that have defined the year so far, and a look towards what is to come.

CvT: How Did We Get Here? A Glance at US-China Relations in 2020

From pandemic accusations to market fluctuation, 2020 has been anything but a placid year for the relations between two of the world’s top superpowers. Here’s a look at some key moments that have defined the year so far, and a look towards what is to come.

CvT: Hong Kong – A City Caught in the Middle

With more than 1,300 American firms that include over 300 regional headquarters, Hong Kong has long been the de facto launching point for foreign businesses that seek riches within the vast Chinese market, but also value the operational familiarity of the former British colony. It comes as an uncomfortable truth to many, then, that the city’s stature as the bridge between the East and the West may be crumbling under the weight of the newly minted NSL that threatens to undermine the autonomy that has elevated Hong Kong into a pillar of US-China relations.

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